Ferry Boat Feasibility Study
Prepared for:
Virginia Department of Transportation
Transportation Planning Division
Prepared by:
ATCS, P.L.C.
April 2000
Study Team
Client
Virginia Department of Transportation
Transportation Planning
Division
K.E. Lantz, Jr., P.E. – State Transportation Planning
Engineer
Katherine A. Graham – Project Director
Rahul Trivedi – NOVA
Liaison
Consultant
ATCS, P.L.C.
William A. Caruthers, Jr. P.E.
Michael D. Kidd – Project
Manager
Robert Kuhns – Project Planner
Mark MacIntire – Project Engineer,
P.E.
Subconsultant
SG Associates
Frank Spielberg, P.E.
BMI
Phillip Shapiro, P.E..
Michelle Smith
Travesky & Associates
Marie Travesky
LAWGIBB
Phil Collins
Brian Arrowsmith
Walter Wohleking
Richard
Pratt
Table of Contents
Executive
Summary
Previous Ferry Initiatives
Study Corridor
Study
Corridor Growth
Alternatives Studied
Ferry Service
Plan
Conclusions
Recommendations
Recommendation One
Recommendation
Two
Recommendation Three
Chapter
1 - Introduction
Purpose
Previous Ferry Initiatives
Study
Corridor
Study Corridor Growth
Study Corridor Travel
Need
Chapter
2 – Market Potential
Demographic-Based Ferry Market
Potential
Travel-Based Ferry Market Potential
Summary
Chapter
3–Preliminary Development of Ferry Service Alternatives
Potential
Termini
Potential Routings
Evaluation of Alternative Routes
Market
Potential
Travel Time
Capital Costs
Transportation Demand Management
Potential
Environmental Considerations
Terminal Accessibility
Summary
and Conclusions
Chapter
4 – Design Year Travel Demand Forecasts
Study Area
Current Future
Year Travel
Modal Characteristics
Bus Service
Rail Service
Ferry
Service
Access and Distribution
Travel Forecasting
Methodology
Scenarios Tested
Patronage Forecasts for "Reasonable"
Scenarios
Impacts on Highway Travel
Summary and Conclusions
Chapter
5 – Landside Infrastructure Analysis
Woodbridge
Site
Evaluation
Access to Public Transportation
Collection/Distribution
System
Environmental Impacts
Necessary Improvements
Fort
Washington
Site Evaluation
Access to Public
Transportation
Collection/Distribution System
Environmental
Impacts
Necessary Improvements
Navy Yard
Site Evaluation
Access to
Public Transportation
Collection/Distribution System
Environmental
Impacts
Necessary Improvements
Pentagon
Site Evaluation
Access to
Public Transportation
Collection/Distribution System
Environmental
Impacts
Necessary Improvements
Summary and Conclusions
Chapter
6 – Waterside Operation Analysis
Vessel Specifications
Potential
Boat Manufacturing Yards
Oversight Agencies
U.S. Coast Guard
District
of Columbia
Maryland
Virginia
Navigational Aids
Waterside
Operational Issues
Environmental Impacts of Waterside Operations
Summary
and Conclusions
Chapter
7 – Ferry Service Modeling
Service Profiles
Patronage
Projections
Landside Capital Needs and Costs
Waterside Capital Needs and
Costs
Operating Costs and Optimum Fare Structures
TDM Benefits
Vehicle
Ferry Potential
Summary and Conclusions
Chapter
8 – Ferry Service Plan
Service Levels
Infrastructure Needs and
Costs
Patronage Projections
Analysis of Existing Publicly Operated Ferry
Services
Financial Projections
Operating Authority
Summary and
Conclusions
Chapter
9 – Public Involvement Activities
Mailing Database
Study
Brochure
Regional Market Survey
Technical Information Meeting
Meetings
with Private Sector, Agency and Government Representatives
Press
Advisories
Newspaper Advertisement
Citizen Information Meeting
Chapter
10 – Conclusions and Recommendations
Background
Study
Findings
Study Conclusions
Recommendations
Recommendation
One
Recommendation Two
Recommendation Three
Phase I
Phase
II
Phase III
List of Figures
1-1 Study Area Map
2-1 Year 2000 Travel Patterns
2-2 Year 2010 Travel
Patterns
3-1 Potential Termini
3-2 Refined Potential Termini
3-3
Speed-Restricted Areas
3-4 Travel Time Comparisons
4-1 Destination
Areas
4-2 Origin Areas
4-3 Projected Daily Ferry Patronage Woodbridge-Navy
Yard
5-1 Woodbridge Site Map
5-2 Woodbridge Site Photographs
5-2
Woodbridge Site Photographs Continued
5-3 Fort Washington Site Map
5-4
Fort Washington Site Photographs
5-4 Fort Washington Site Photographs
Continued
5-5 Navy Yard Site Map
5-6 Navy Yard Site Photographs
5-6
Navy Yard Site Photographs Continued
5-7 Pentagon Site Map
5-8 Pentagon
Site Photographs
8-1 Ferry Ridership Trends
List of Tables
1-1 Projected Employment Growth
2-1 Household Distribution in Origin
Areas
2-2 Employment Distribution in Destination Areas
2-3 Potential Mode
Shift Scenarios
2-4 Year 2000 Market Potential
2-5 Year 2010 Market
Potential
3-1 Proposed Termini – Previous Ferry Studies
3-2 Travel Time
Estimates
3-3 Estimated Capital Costs
3-4 Select Link Analysis Daily Auto
Vehicle Trips
3-5 Terminal Accessibility
3-6 Evaluation Matrix
4-1
Employment Districts
4-2 Residential Areas
4-3 MWCOG Work Trip Data Used
in Analysis
4-4 Summary of Forecasting Scenarios
6-1 Vessel Capacity
Analysis
6-2 Typical Vessel Specifications
6-3 Potential
Manufacturers
7-1 Service Profile for Alternatives
7-2 Patronage Forecasts
for Alternatives
7-3 Landside Capital Costs
7-4 Waterside Capital
Costs
7-5 Patronage Projections at Alternative Fares
7-6 Final Service
Profiles
8-1 Preliminary Schedule – 20 minute Service
8-2 Preliminary
Schedule – 30 minute Service
8-3 Preliminary Schedule – 60 minute
Service
8-4 Estimate of Capital Costs
8-5 Patronage Projection
8-6 Mode
Splits
8-7 Operating Cost Ratios
8-8 Operating Projections
8-9 Subsidy
and Farebox Recovery
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