Virginia Transportation Modeling Program

Winchester Regional Travel Model

Winchester Region map


WSP|Parsons Brinckerhoff

Completion Year:

Base Year:

Forecast Year:

2015 Population:

Winchester City and Frederick County

Air Quality Status:
Early Action Compact (EAC)

Internal  TAZs:

CUBE Voyager

Trip Purposes:
Home-Based Work (HBW)
Home-Based School(HBS)
Home-Based Shop(HBSH)
Home-Based Other (HBO)
Non-Home Based (NHB)
Non-Home Based Other(NHBO)

Time Period Modeled:
 AM Mid-day PM Night

Passenger Vehicle Transit


Regional Characteristics

The Winchester model covers the Winchester-Frederick County MPO area which includes the City of Winchester, Town of Stephens City, and Frederick County. The Winchester modeling area is not adjacent to or overlapping with any existing models. The closest existing model is Washington, DC.


Travel Characteristics

Located in the northern part of the Shenandoah Valley along the I-81 Corridor, Winchester is a small growing metropolitan area. The principal north-south transportation routes are I-81 and US 522 while US 50 and State Route 7 are the major East- West routes. A major trip generator is Shenandoah University with its 4,000 students. The model area population increased from about 83,000 in 2000 to 106,000 in 2015, a 28 percent increase.  For the future year, the model area’s population is projected to increase 64 percent to 174,000 from 2015 to 2040.

Model Contacts
 Yifang Yuan

Request this Model
Travel Model Data Request Form



Page last modified: March 27, 2023